Thursday, October 11, 2012

Predicting the Outcome: Fisher v. University of Texas

Yesterday, the Supreme Court heard oral arguments for Fisher vs UT(exas), a case which has the potential of upending racial based Affirmative Action. This would reverse the 2003 decision for Grutter v. Bollinger upholding (on a 5-4 basis) Affirmative Action as a "narrow' consideration (among other factors) for admission.

It's highly likely that this is going to get shut down. Time to whip out the ole' prediction section, because this is gonna be a lock. 5-3 or possibly even a 6-2 decision that repudiates Affirmative Action (Kagan has recused herself from the case).*

* As a basis for being a vindicated prediction, the Supreme Court needs to rule in favor (5 votes or more) of the plaintiff, Abigail Fisher.

Accountability Department:

Predictions outstanding: 2 (Marissa Meyer, this)

Predictions vindicated: 0

Predictions erroneous: 1 (Romney Veepstakes)

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